Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Deregulating Regulations!

Deregulation of diesel price would reduce irrational subsidies!

Finally, after series of flawed policies, I saw some sensible and path-breaking policies being announced by our incumbent government. After rounds of debates and discussions, the government finally took the ‘obvious and long-awaited’ decision of deregulating the diesel prices across the nation! This one policy that should have been implemented a way back, came at the time when the nation is facing an economic turbulence and the ruling government is fighting for its survival! Keeping everything at bay, deregulating diesel price would solve multiple problems and in all probability, would provide an impetus to the economy as well.

Now that diesel price is being deregulated, the state-run oil marketing companies can decide diesel prices in sync with global crude oil prices. The oil company would no more have to sell diesel at lower price than required or a price that spelled losses for the economy at large. This would not only reduce the gap between petrol and diesel prices but would save crores by sidelining the huge subsidy (worth Rs 95,000 crore per year) that is currently being allocated for keeping the diesel prices low! A back of envelope calculation shows that a one unit price hike in diesel price would save 4,000 units of subsidy. This further will help the government to reduce the fiscal deficit and maintain a judicious fiscal deficit to GDP ratio! As per a study by CARE research, “Every rupee hike in diesel price trims under-recoveries by approximately Rs 80 billion annually... An overall diesel price hike of Rs 5/litre by the end of FY14 along with currency appreciation is expected to reduce losses on sale of diesel to an average of Rs 5/litre for FY14 compared to current losses of Rs 9.6/litre.” Furthermore, deregulation of price would eventually reduce hoarding and black marketing of diesel. I still remember the beelines at fuel station hours prior to the fuel price hikes and also the ‘no-availability’ status of fuel the very next day – a clear case of fuel hoarding! Given the price gap between diesel and petrol price, subsidised diesel is mostly redirected to affluent than needy.

This move will finally bring back the private players in the arena. Reliance Industries, Shell and Essar Oil which had to shutter down their fuel station a couple of years back, would now be back in business. Now both the government owned pumps and private players would try to woo their customers with other freebies as diesel would be sold at same price by both these entities. However, the government needs to chalk out clear plans of reimbursing the premium from farmers and other allied sectors. No doubt, this would definitely increase the input costs for the farmer, but just like LPG cylinders, these pockets of population can be issued a limited supply of subsidised fuel through privately owned authorised outlets!


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles
IIPM’s Management Consulting Arm-Planman Consulting
Professor Arindam Chaudhuri – A Man For The Society….
IIPM: Indian Institute of Planning and Management
IIPM makes business education truly global
Management Guru Arindam Chaudhuri
Rajita Chaudhuri-The New Age Woman

ExecutiveMBA

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

In pursuit of happy capitalism

Policies should be directed at making the environment for entrepreneurship far more enabling in India than what it is today. However, entrepreneurs must also contribute to the larger social goal in their own interest

Eight out of the world’s top ten richest people on the Forbes’ The World’s Billionaires 2011 List are self-made, that is, people who have not simply inherited their fortunes, but have built them over time due to their entrepreneurial vision, exemplary leadership and years of hard work. And of course, a huge majority in this list hails from the US, a country that has successfully nurtured the spirit of entrepreneurship since ages; and is also the nation with the highest GDP in the world. These people are the perfect embodiments of leadership, who inspire millions to live their dreams and make them a reality, even in the most unfavourable of circumstances. But there is something more compelling that these entrepreneurs manage to achieve. Through employment generation and equitable wealth creation within masses, these entrepreneurs contribute immensely to nation building and to the subsequent upliftment of disadvantaged sections.

In other words, it cannot ever be overstated that promoting entrepreneurship is absolutely essential for progress – and more so if it’s the case of India that we’re discussing. The Economic Survey for 2011-12 laments that while India is the world’s 4th largest economy, it is also the poorest among G-20 nations in terms of per capita income, which was around $1,527 in 2011. It has been also estimated by the World Bank that India has more than 400 million people living below the poverty line; UN confirms that more than 700 million Indians live on less than $2 a day. These figures are shockingly mammoth.

Entrepreneurship could very well be the only real hope for India to create virtuous cycles of employment to ensure that a massive majority of these disadvantaged classes are uplifted in quick time. If China could manage this kind of a feat, then I fail to understand why can’t India? Between 1981 and 2004, China got more than 600 million people out of poverty – this is more than has ever been achieved by any nation in history. UNDP data estimates that the incidence of rural poverty in China went down from 30.7% in 1978 to 1.6% in 2007. These electrifying improvements correspond to the spectacular rise of Chinese manufacturing and the growth of hundreds of thousands of Chinese entrepreneurs throughout the nation – and all with the proactive support of the State, which ensured continued public-private coordination throughout this growth story.

Leave the macro story, even at the micro/corporate level, promoting entrepreneurship – even within an organisation – is critically essential, The most respected Peter F. Drucker strongly believed that no organisation can dream of being stupendously innovative unless its employees are die-hard entrepreneurs; warriors who live and die with the consistently burning desire to start something new! If I were to expansively summarise the import of his iconic book Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Drucker defined an entrepreneur as an innovator and vice versa. Indeed, that key character trait that separates these entrepreneurs and innovators from the rest is ‘passion’. In a path-breaking May 2007 official Microsoft research release (‘The Rich Have Money – And Passion’), the Harrison Group, a leading international research firm, showed how 70% of America’s big family fortunes are less than 13 years old (that is, they’re not ‘inherited’) and more importantly, that “the people who amassed those fortunes are primarily entrepreneurs – risk takers for whom wealth is a by product of pursuing their passion!”
 

Source : IIPM Editorial, 2013.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
 
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles
 

Monday, April 15, 2013

B&E Indicators

Private charity contributions rise in India
Although the human conditions in India remain difficult for many, the attitude towards giving has certainly started to change. In fact, as a percentage of GDP, private charitable giving in India has increased 50% since 2006. Today private giving totals 0.3-0.4% of GDP in India. However, the country still lags behind when compared with the developed world. For instance, private giving in US accounted for 2.2% of GDP in 2009.

But, it’s still below the global standard


A prime reason for the disparity is that individual donations in India still constitute only 26% of all private contributions, way below the global standards. While in US individual charitable donations total as much as 75% of all private giving, in UK, it’s 60%. Moreover, the wealthiest Indians are still donating much less than (1.5-3% of annual income) their US counterparts, who contribute about 9% of their annual incomes.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
 
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles
 
2012 : DNA National B-School Survey 2012
Ranked 1st in International Exposure (ahead of all the IIMs)
Ranked 6th Overall

Zee Business Best B-School Survey 2012
Prof. Arindam Chaudhuri’s Session at IMA Indore
IIPM IN FINANCIAL TIMES, UK. FEATURE OF THE WEEK
IIPM strong hold on Placement : 10000 Students Placed in last 5 year
IIPM’s Management Consulting Arm-Planman Consulting
Professor Arindam Chaudhuri – A Man For The Society….
IIPM: Indian Institute of Planning and Management
IIPM makes business education truly global
Management Guru Arindam Chaudhuri
Rajita Chaudhuri-The New Age Woman
IIPM B-School Facebook Page
IIPM Global Exposure
IIPM Best B School India
IIPM B-School Detail

IIPM Links
IIPM : The B-School with a Human Face

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Who’s The one Joking out Here?

The new Profit Sharing Formula introduced by The Ministry of Mines has upset miners in India. While they contest that The New Legislation will wipe off The Industry, The Government Strongly Believes otherwise. Who’s The one Joking?

After having displayed a laggard approach on the need of a more contemporary mining policy for years together, the government appears to have woken up and has shown great urgency in bringing out a new mining policy that promises to address mining-related concerns of most stakeholders. The new proposal, titled ‘The Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation) Bill, 2010’, is an amendment to the MMDR Act, 1957, and has been approved by the cabinet to be put before the Parliament.

The new legislation, as the government claims, aims to open up the country’s resources to foreign and local private investment and increase the benefits from mining to local communities. The contours of the new bill make it mandatory for mining companies to give 26% of their net profit as compensation to locals displaced by the projects. The goals laid out by the government in drafting the legislation are wide-reaching and, in some cases, do seem uncompromising. “We are trying to give enough options to the local community by giving them a recurring financial compensation. It’s not a compensation for their land, it is to enable them to do something different. We cannot, sitting in government or industry, decide somebody’s way of life. All we can do is empower them,” says S. Vijay Kumar, Secretary, Department of Mines. The expansion of mining in India is key towards maintaining the GDP and export growth of the country. In a recent interaction with a parliamentary panel, Mines Minister B. K. Handique asserted that the share of mining sector to the country’s GDP, which currently stands between 2.5% and 3%, is poised to increase substantially. To be exact, as industry movements suggest, it could contribute around 5% by the year 2020.

However, talking about the present, despite the geologically established presence of huge mineral reserves in the country, the current scenario of mining in India is rather disappointing. Considering that the mining and construction equipment industry volume is around 40,000 to 45,000 units per annum amounting to a turnover of $2.6 billion to $3.1 billion, the Indian industry is in its nascent stage as compared to the $75 billion global market. Moreover, as per official estimates, out of the 5.75 lakh sq km available in India with potential minerals, only 75,000 sq kms have been explored in detail so far. Not to forget, the battle between the mining companies and the people displaced by their projects have contributed in a big way for this poor show. While neither the existing spotty government mechanism nor the mining industry has been able to provide any relief to the lives of those affected by earlier projects, the question remains, will the new bill be able to resolve these battles?


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Singapore, here we come!

Comparisons of national GDPs with respective salaries of heads of state reveals some interesting facts

Much is being discussed and debated on the issue of who gets to decide on the CEOs’ remuneration in a listed company. This is true especially in US, where shareholders felt cheated by the recession and excesses by CEOs; both in terms of pay and in the way they took excessive risks to take their companies, and shareholder wealth, to newer lows. So if it’s all about taking accountability to the highest level, it does make sense to look at remunerations of the ultimate CEOs – the heads of state. After all, their role is far greater than any of the corporate leaders.

Voters in a democracy don’t exactly have a say on what their head of state gets, in fact, many of them may not have even seriously considered that an issue. But then, is there a pay to performance link at work? We decided to check for a correlation between remunerations of some heads of state with GDP performance of their respective nations; and came up with some interesting revelations.

To start off, the US shows greater parity. The concept of compensating the President took shape during 1790s in the US. In as early as 1789, the basic salary of the US President was $25,000 annually, the value of which in 2009 dollars is $566,000 when the GDP of the country was over International $527 million (the currency being used at that time). Exactly 84 years later, in March 1893, the basic salary of the President was doubled to $50,000, value of which in 2009 dollars is $865,000, while the GDP of the economy grew by 187 times. Salary was again hiked in 1909 to $75,000, the current value of which is an astonishing $1,714,000; even as the US became the second largest economy of the world after the UK, with a GDP of International $517.38 billion. The salary was revised to $100,000 in 1949, even as US became the largest economy of the world with a GDP of about International $1,456 billion. The salary was further raised to $200,000 on Jan 20, 1969; while the size of the economy nearly doubled. And when the basic salary was given its final boost – to $400,000 on Jan 20, 2001, the size of the economy increased to $10.29 trillion. Since then, the economy has not done quite well, with the current GDP at $13.84 trillion, and interestingly, the basic salary of the President has remained the same.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.

2012 : DNA National B-School Survey 2012
Ranked 1st in International Exposure (ahead of all the IIMs)
Ranked 6th Overall

Zee Business Best B-School Survey 2012
Prof. Arindam Chaudhuri’s Session at IMA Indore
IIPM IN FINANCIAL TIMES, UK. FEATURE OF THE WEEK
IIPM strong hold on Placement : 10000 Students Placed in last 5 year
IIPM’s Management Consulting Arm-Planman Consulting
Professor Arindam Chaudhuri – A Man For The Society….
IIPM: Indian Institute of Planning and Management
IIPM makes business education truly global
Management Guru Arindam Chaudhuri
Rajita Chaudhuri-The New Age Woman
IIPM B-School Facebook Page
IIPM Global Exposure
IIPM Best B School India
IIPM B-School Detail

IIPM Links
IIPM : The B-School with a Human Face
IIPM – FLP (Flexi Learning Program)

Monday, October 29, 2012

PRIMARY MARKET: IPOS

With two IPOs hitting its shores one can finally see some sign of life in the primary market again. But is the market really ready? manish k. pandey acts investor... oops investigator!

But, despite the optimistic signs in the fund raising environment, there is a looming tsunami that threatens any momentum: the Budget has projected a deficit of 6.8% of GDP in fiscal 2009-10 and to finance this, the government will borrow about $80 billion from the market, which may further squeeze out the private sector, directly impacting their fund raising capabilities (Knowledge@Wharton). This statement certainly supports the contrarians who believe that the market still has a long way to go before it can finally take on to the IPO rush. “In reality, there is no rush of IPOs. It’s only media hype. Despite the secondary market being on an upward trend since March this year, we have had only 4 IPOs/FPOs raising Rs.4.43 billion. There was a huge expectation that this Budget would set the right tone for the secondary market, a prerequisite for the primary market. But, the immediate market reaction has shown that it is not very impressed,” avers Prithvi Haldea, Founder and CMD, Prime Database.

Certainly, a sense of stability in the secondary market is critical for IPOs to happen. This is because, one, when the appetite for listed stocks is also minimal, to expect new issues to find favour is hard and second, an issuer has to take a call of a stable market at least 30 days ahead (the time it requires to open and list an IPO). Since this stability or continued buoyancy is still not being seen, IPOs are not happening. In fact, as many as 17 companies are holding SEBI approval (typically the last hurdle in the launch of an IPO) for months now to raise Rs.69 billion, but are not daring to enter the market. “So at best, the next 3-4 months can see only 34 companies (holding and awaiting approval) hit the market,” says Haldea. Raison d’ĂȘtre: Issuers are finding the future outlook uncertain.

This can be seen by the fact that despite nearly 700 companies wanting to do an IPO, just four companies have filed their offer documents with SEBI since April this year. This certainly points out in the direction that the market is not yet ready for another big wave of IPOs.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.

 
IIPM : The B-School with a Human Face